(MA) Main Assumption – All bigger teams defeat the minnows except ENG/BAN match & PAK/IRE match.
From Pool A's point of view – The two most deciding matches being
• Australia vs Sri Lanka on 8th March 2015 (for 2nd & 3rd place)
• England vs Bangladesh on 9th March 2015 (for 4th place)
Assumptions for Pool A
NZ win all matches which they should (Bangladesh & Afghanistan) (MA)
Australia & Sri Lanka, both beat Scotland (MA)
England beats Afghanistan (MA)
This is how it breaks down:
|
Results
|
If Eng win vs Bang
|
QFs
|
If Bang win vs Eng
|
QFs
|
|
Aus win
vs SL
|
A1
|
NZ
|
Will play Pak/Ire
|
A1
|
NZ
|
Will play Pak/Ire
|
|
A2
|
Aus
|
Will play WI
|
A2
|
Aus
|
Will play WI
|
|
A3
|
SL
|
Will play SA
|
A3
|
SL
|
Will play SA
|
|
A4
|
Eng
|
Will play India
|
A4
|
Ban
|
Will play India
|
|
SL win
vs Aus
|
A1
|
NZ
|
Will play Pak/Ire
|
A1
|
NZ
|
Will play Pak/Ire
|
|
A2
|
SL
|
Will play WI
|
A2
|
SL
|
Will play WI
|
|
A3
|
Aus
|
Will play SA
|
A3
|
Aus
|
Will play SA
|
|
A4
|
Eng
|
Will play India
|
A4
|
Ban
|
Will play India
|
* If England v Bangladesh washes out, Bangladesh goes through to secure 4th place.
Assumptions for Pool B
India win all matches (WI, Zim, Ire)
SA win all matches (Pak, UAE)
WI beats UAE, Ireland beats Zim (MA)
Pakistan vs Ireland is the decider for 4th place
If,
Pak beat SA; rest matches assumed the same -
• Then WI end at 6, Pak go to 3rd place if they beat Ireland else fight for 3rd or 4th on NRR along with Ireland and WI who are also on 6 pts. (mostly likely Ireland loses out due to very bad NRR currently)