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Lanka back in business

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Looking at the percentage chance of winning each team had at different points in the game tells some interesting stories.

India were in the game at only at two points: In the first innings at the end of the 4th over (with a COW - Chance of Winning - of 73%) and at the end of the 9th over in the second innings (with a COW of 48%). However, Sri Lanka dominated a whopping 32 out of the possible 40 overs in the match.


First Innings COW graph:

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India gave away a commanding position after the 4th over to end with a COW of 33%, a drop of 40 points. Jayasuriya's 22-run 5th over marked the start of Sri Lankan mauling.

Second Innings COW graph:

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Gambhir's cameo brought the game back in balance following which the remaining batsmen started a fierce race to be the first to reach the dressing room. Result: Lanka had wrapped the game up by the end of 14th over. The defining period of play here was a 5 over phase shared by Jayasuriya and Matthews which raised their COW by 45 points!


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